South Africa currently sits at the 9th spot in the ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup Super League for the 2023 World Cup, and only the top 8 will directly qualify for the tournament later this year.
After the 2nd ODI victory over England, South Africa jumped to 79 points from 18 games. They had a series scheduled vs. Australia earlier but backed out and dented their qualification chances as a result.
However, two consecutive wins over a strong England team have given them hope once again. A brilliant third ODI ton by captain Bavuma and a late blitz by David Miller ensured South Africa’s victory in Bloemfontein.
After conceding 342 with the ball, Africa had a difficult target to chase. However, a steady opening stand of 77 in 12 overs and a 90-ball 100 by Temba kept South Africa rolling.
Afterward, VD Dussen, Markram, and Klaasen all chipped in, with David Miller and Marco Jansen seeing South Africa through.
How South Africa can Directly Qualify for the ICC World Cup 2023?
South Africa has 79 points from 18 games at the moment. Above them is the West Indies, with 88 points from 24 matches. The good thing for South Africa is that the West Indies won’t be playing any more ODIs for the CWC league, so they will remain at 88 points.
If South Africa wins their third One-Day International against England, they will replace the West Indies in eighth place. The former will have 89 points as they edge past the Windies.
After the England series concludes, the Proteas will be hosting the Netherlands for two ODIs. If South Africa wins those two games and the last ODI against England, they will qualify directly for the ICC World Cup in India.
The most points South Africa can get is 109. Afghanistan currently has 115 points, so they are safe at the No. 7 spot. The battle is for 8th place.
And keep in mind, Sri Lanka is in the race as well. From their 21 matches, they have 77 points. Moreover, they will be traveling to New Zealand for a 3-match ODI series this year.
If Sri Lanka cleansweeps New Zealand, then they’ll have 107 points. If South Africa loses or has one of their matches abandoned, NR, or tied, Sri Lanka will qualify ahead of them.
Therefore, it is necessary for South Africa to not look for “ifs and buts” and try to win all three of their remaining matches. Of course, you can’t take the Netherlands lightly, but still, you’d give South Africa an advantage over them, especially in the 50-over format.
Direct World Cup Qualification Scenarios for the Proteas
There are four possible scenarios for the Proteas:
1st Scenario: If South Africa wins all three of their remaining matches, they’ll directly qualify for the ICC World Cup 2023 with 109 points.
2nd Scenario: If South Africa wins only one or two of their last three matches and Sri Lanka wins all three matches, then Sri Lanka will qualify automatically for the CWC ahead of South Africa.
The former will have 107 points, while the latter will finish with either 89 or 99.
3rd Scenario: If South Africa wins one of their remaining three ODIs and Sri Lanka loses all of their games or they also win only one, then South Africa will go through to the World Cup and Sri Lanka will play the qualifiers.
Both teams will have 89 (SA) and 87 (SL) points if they win only one of their three games.
4th Scenario: If South Africa loses all three of their matches, they’ll be playing in the World Cup qualifiers.
Indeed, the situation is tricky for both South Africa and Sri Lanka. However, the Lions won’t be able to do much if South Africa wins all of their remaining ODIs.